Forecast Origin: .
Horizon Ends: .
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Each plot contains the following information:
  • forecast origin (vertical line),
  • actual daily infections (circles),
  • in-sample one-step-ahead predictions (solid line, prior to forecast origin),
  • median of posterior predictive distribution, i.e., point forecast (solid line, after forecast origin),
  • quantiles of posterior predictive distribution (20-80% in dark grey, 10-90% in light grey).
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